What's Inside the AI
Stock Forecast
Understanding Our
Top-Down Forecasting Methods
The
AI Stock Forecasting system begins its search for superior
investments at the top of the market by first identifying the
best industries that are most likely to outperform the overall market. The
forecasting system then moves down to search for the best stock
investments in each industry.
First, an artificial
intelligence
computer model is used to make 12-month predictions for
100
different industries. The industries are ranked based on their
predicted 12-month returns. The industry indexes that we use for pricing
purposes are based on the Dow Jones Industry Indexes that are listed in the
Market Week section of Barron's and the Industry
/ Fund Cross Reference page on this website.
Once the industries are ranked, another artificial intelligence computer program
searches through a database of over 7000 stocks for the ones with the best
profit potential. 12-month predictions are computed for all of the stocks
in each industry and these are used to find the best stocks in each
industry. The stocks in each industry are then ranked based on
their predicted returns.
Sections Of The AI
Stock Forecast
The AI Stock Forecast
is divided into 5 sections:
For reference, take a look at the free sample
AI
Stock Forecast provided on this website.
The Industry Forecasts page displays
a table with the latest information on 100 Industry Groups and the
associated Fidelity Select Mutual Funds. The table includes the current
ratings, the current index price, and the 12-month forecasts for each
industry group. "Buy" ratings are issued for the best industries ranked 1
- 10 . "Hold" ratings are issued for industries ranked 11 - 20.
The remaining 65 industries are issued "sell" ratings.
Predictions can be obtained for all stocks in a given industry group by
clicking on the
icon. The
best stocks are shown at the top of the list.
The
Stock
Forecasts page provides
the user with the ability to enter any stock symbol and get its recent
price, its predicted 12-month gain, and what industry group the stock is a member
of.
The Stock
Screening page provides the user with the ability to screen
all of the stocks in our database against various criteria such as
Industry Rank, Stock Rating, Stock Price, Stock Size, 12-Month
Prediction, the 95% Low Limit, Stock Safety, and Industry Safety.
The AI Stock Portfolio page displays the 20
stocks that the owners of TDMR are invested in using our artificial intelligence
based
forecasting systems. The listing includes the date and price at
which the stock was purchased, the current stock price, and the % gain to
date. This portfolio is also the gauge used to measure the
performance of the stock predictions that are made by our AI computers. The
portfolio performance is charted on the Performance
Score Card page. The portfolio performance is computed without the
benefit of stock dividends or the hindrance of trading related costs.
Also, the portfolio does not buy on margin (borrow money to invest) and
only uses the cash available in the account.
The AI Fund Portfolio page displays
the AI Fund Portfolio. It consists of the 10
mutual funds that the owners of Top-Down Market Research, LLC (TDMR) are
invested in. Information is provided as to what transactions are being
made for each holding, as well as the buy price, the buy date, the current
price, and the % return to date. The portfolio performance is charted on
the Performance Score Card page.